Populism has come to Finland to stay and the days of big-three political parties shaping the government or the opposition are over, say analysts Sini Korpinen and Sam Kingsley as All Points North wraps up its special parliamentary election series.
The populist Finns Party led by immigration hardliner Jussi Halla-aho, swept into the top three to claim 39 seats and push Finnish politics hard right, with a voter mandate that Korpinen and Kingsley say other politicians and the general public should not ignore. That groundswell of support is what will complicate the task of coalition talks for Antti Rinne, whose Social Democratic party claimed 40 seats and the commission to form a new government from the fragmented result.
According to the experts, although Petteri Orpo's National Coalition Party and Juha Sipilä's Centre Party -- which was soundly trounced in the poll -- are the only groups with any appetite for working with the Finns Party, sending them into opposition could ultimately lead more voters to rally to their side in subsequent elections.
Overall, opposition parties the Greens and the Left Alliance look to be solid potential partners for the SDP, but their MPs may not be enough for a parliamentary majority. That means Rinne will likely have to invite other parties to join his administration, taking the new government in the direction of an unwieldy "rainbow coalition".
Whatever happens, Finland can look forward to more thrills as coalition formation talks progress and a new government takes office just as Finland assumes the rotating EU presidency from 1 July.
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